The decarbonization of water heating has been identified as an achievable and significant step toward California’s overall decarbonization goals. Programs like TECH Clean California and BUILD are working on the market transformation of water heating and water heating manufacturers continue to make key strides in Heat pump products to address electrical infrastructure challenges such as commercial kitchens, central systems, and space constrained applications.
The electrification of water heating presents a key opportunity to build demand flexibility into this added electrical load: this make-or-break moment could result in either added stress on California’s electric grid in the crucial evening hours or true success in bringing grid interactivity to the mass market.
High Understanding | Research in Progress | Immediate Needs | Future Research Needed |
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having high impacts within the Technology Category.
Energy-efficient, load-shifting capable, electric HPWHs are designed to meet the hot water demands of residential households or small businesses. HPWHs pull heat from the surrounding environment and transfer it into the water inside the tank. HPWHs typically run off electricity and deliver hot water two to five times more efficiently than electric resistance, standard gas water heaters, or fossil fuel fired water heaters. Larger unitary systems such as 12 kW integrated heat pump water heaters for commercial applications are included.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation | Market Analysis | Measure Development | Program Development |
---|---|---|---|---|
120V Residential | ||||
120V Commercial | ||||
240V Unitary | ||||
Split Systems and Small Form Factor | ||||
Low-GWP Refrigerant | ||||
Connectivity & Load Shifting |
Storage HPWHs are a critical residential building decarbonization strategy, providing a cost-effective, electric water heating solution for load reduction and shifting peak during carbon intensive utility periods. There is enormous potential for load shifting and shaping, load management, and the resulting GHG reduction from shifting the heating schedule to times when the electricity grid has a lower marginal emissions rate and cost to operate.
Additional performance validation, measure and program development is necessary to accurately assess impacts and adoption pathways of split systems, 120V unitary, and solar-assisted models, as well as trends in upsizing storage capacity and utilization of integrated or master mixing valves. Standardization of first hour ratings for HPWHs and installer training regarding appropriate design and installation best practices to account for recovery rates of different HPWH solutions will be necessary to ensure satisfactory performance for all residential users.Significant gains have been made in developing best practices guides for the sizing and installation of HPWHs, however, additional research is required to assess design solutions and applications in common recirculation pump designs found in many California homes.
Shifting to low-GWP refrigerants (e.g., CO2) offers increased performance, higher water storage temperature capabilities and other direct greenhouse gas (GHG) emission benefits to eliminate the impacts of refrigerant leakage. To support the market shift, new low-GWP performance validation, especially at higher storage temperatures, accompanied by mixing valves, will be necessary to inform updates to measure and program development.
Planned zero-emission regulations on residential water heaters in the Bay area and statewide are based on reducing indoor exposure to combustion gases to households. The assessment and attribution of non-energy benefits (NEBs) such as health impacts from air quality and the development of innovative solutions for increasing equitable access to HPWHs are important for supporting an accelerated transition away from gas water heaters.
Upfront cost is the most significant barrier to HPWH adoption in the most common opportunity, emergency water heater replacements. Identifying opportunities for cost-compression of equipment and installation costs is necessary for equitable and scalable HPWH market development. In addition, assessing existing and new, innovative financing mechanisms, deployment interventions and behavioral programs is critical to establish a sustainable and sufficiently capitalized incentive and that enable accelerated adoption of HPWHs.
Replacement of electric resistance WH (seven percent of the California market) and the new construction (NC) market offer the quickest opportunities for market adoption and total system benefit. Program designs that support electric resistance to HPWH incentives and approaches and NC builder approaches are needed to support these market sectors.
HPWHs face many barriers but these barriers are mostly due to market and installation practices, not shortcomings in the technology itself. HPWHs have installation challenges and operational features not found in common gas storage alternatives that can make fuel-switching challenging:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having high impacts within the Technology Category.
Domestic water heating (DHW) is among the largest end-uses poised for decarbonization. With all-electric heat pump water heater (HPWH) options, HPWHs have a higher efficiency than electric resistance alternatives and can achieve dramatic energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) savings, compared with natural gas alternatives. This group covers efficient, demand-flexible non-unitary DHW systems for non-residential applications (such as offices, hotels, healthcare, and food service) and multi-family applications. Hot water systems under this group may include a primary heat generation (e.g. heat pump), storage, distribution, pumping, valves, controls, temperature maintenance systems, heat recovery, and alternative heat sources (e.g. solar or geothermal).
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation | Market Analysis | Measure Development | Program Development |
---|---|---|---|---|
Split HPWH | ||||
Unitary HPWH | ||||
Load Flexibility Controls | ||||
Dual Fuel Systems | ||||
Distribution System Optimization | ||||
Heat Recovery |
There are many different important targets of research, development, and market transformation across different technologies, designs, and market segments within this group, each with their own needs. These projects could be executed as field demonstrations, technology development, lab studies, market studies, modeling, market transformation tools, or novel program delivery mechanisms. The state of understanding and research needs may differ, based on design configuration (e.g. integrated, split, central, clustered), segment (e.g. education, hospitality, healthcare, office, food service, multifamily), or building vintage (i.e. new construction or retrofit).
Prospective studies may focus on:
Commercial-HPWH systems are still in a nascent technological stage that continues to evolve. Existing gas-fired hot water systems comprise 85 percent of the installed base of commercial water heaters. Physical space, electrical infrastructure, and installed costs are major upfront barriers that have slowed HPWH adoption in retrofit non-residential and multifamily applications. Of particular concern are escalating operating costs and affordability, as the electricity-to-gas cost ratio per unit of energy is approaching 8:1, significantly higher than recent years. Other limitations include product availability of low-GWP four-season heat pumps, weight, and noise. Manufacturers and distributors have started to address the barriers of design complexity, installation, and commissioning through the development of factory-built and commissioned skid and packaged systems that can be scaled for a range of applications.
Researchers and design firms have developed better sizing tools to right size heat pumps for mitigating cost and space requirements in multi-family buildings, but similar tools are needed for many other commercial HPWH applications. Current health department sizing requirements do not address the use of HPWH systems in commercial kitchens and do not account for storage volume as a factor in sizing water heater capacities. Recirculation systems, although important to improve hot water delivery time and minimize water waste, can heavily impact water heater performance in central multi-family and commercial buildings. New programs have only begun to scratch the surface of addressing barriers to adopting commercial HPWHs.
Barriers to be addressed include:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having moderate overall impacts within the Technology Category.
Residential multifunction heat pumps (MFHPs) use an efficient compressor system to serve both space conditioning and water heating requirements of a household, typically configured as a primarily hydronic system. MFHPs can come in multiple formats. Two-function (or combination) heat pump systems serve space heating and water heating demands. Three-function MFHPs provide space cooling in addition.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation | Market Analysis | Measure Development | Program Development |
---|---|---|---|---|
2-function: Water Heating & Space Heating | ||||
3-function: Hot Water, Space Heating & Space Cooling | ||||
Selection Guidelines |
Residential MFHPs offer a novel pathway to decarbonization, providing an efficient alternative to existing gas-fired equipment or the current approach of multiple heat pumps (HPWH and a packaged central heat pump). MFHPs can potentially replace space heating, space cooling, and water heating with a single system, depending on the configuration and design. MFHPs have the potential to provide much higher total system benefits by extending the benefits of thermal storage to space heating (and potentially space cooling). In addition, the single heat pump may free up a home’s electrical panel capacity for other electrification uses and could be deployed with lower overall refrigerants than current heat pump practices.
MFHPs are relatively new to the US market, and, as a result, there are many opportunities to improve the understanding of their performance and impact on the residential sector. Opportunities for research include:
As an emerging technology in the US market, there are many barriers to MFHP adoption that could be addressed. Understanding the performance of MFHPs in the context of US homes, the development of testing and installation standards, and the development of equipment selection guidelines are all necessary for understanding the efficacy of MFHPs in meeting California’s decarbonization goals and encouraging MFHP use in California. Specific barriers include:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having moderate overall impacts within the Technology Category.
Commercial multifunction AWHPs serve water heating and space conditioning needs for multifamily or non-residential buildings. This multifunction category includes combination AWHPs that provide DHW and space heating only, as well as systems that provide space cooling. These systems use refrigerant to move thermal energy in air-to-hydronic distribution systems. They typically can provide two or three functions simultaneously.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation | Market Analysis | Measure Development | Program Development |
---|---|---|---|---|
Combination: DHW and Space Heating | ||||
Two Function: DHW and Space Cooling | ||||
Multifunction: DHW, Space Heating and Cooling | ||||
Sizing Methodology | ||||
Modeling and Software Tool Development | ||||
Test Method Development |
Multifunction AWHPs that can provide multiple hydronic services to a building can address efficiency and decarbonization market needs across the California multifamily and non-residential sectors. Opportunities for emerging technology research include:
There are several barriers to multifunction AWHPs that could be addressed through emerging technology efforts:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having moderate overall impacts within the Technology Category.
Commercial hydronic heat pumps serve space conditioning and service water needs for multifamily or non-residential buildings with large heating needs, such as a commercial kitchen or a large office building. These may be air-to-water heat pumps (AWHP) designed as boiler replacements or water-to-water heat pumps, such as heat recovery chillers, which can provide partial heating and cooling for facilities with simultaneous loads. This technology family is focused on advancements of the product itself.
Note: This technology family will not focus on the holistic system design or interoperability with other large components, which are spread across several technology families.
The Water Heating SME team would like to note that this is seen as a lower priority within the Water Heating TPM and has a heavier HVAC focus.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation | Market Analysis | Measure Development | Program Development |
---|---|---|---|---|
Heat Recovery Chiller | ||||
Air-to-Water Heat Pumps | ||||
Software tool development to support product specification | ||||
Test Method Development & Validation |
Hydronic heat pumps can provide multiple hydronic services to a building to address efficiency and decarbonization market needs across the California multifamily and non-residential sectors. Opportunities for emerging technology research include:
There are a number of barriers to hydronic heat pumps that could be addressed through emerging technology efforts:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having low relative impacts within the Technology Category.
Electric pool heaters for residential and non-residential pool markets; pool pumps and pool controls designed for the residential and non-residential pool market to increase efficiency, performance, and enable load shifting; and alternative strategies for pool heating and maintenance. The technology family will help support the development of all-electric codes and ease pool heating loads to improve grid resiliency.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation | Market Analysis | Measure Development | Program Development |
---|---|---|---|---|
Hot Tub Heat Pump Pool Heater | ||||
Residential Heat Pump Pool Heaters | ||||
Commercial Heat Pump Pool Heaters | ||||
Commercial Variable Speed Pool Pumping |
Opportunities in this technology family will increase the efficiency with optimized equipment and designs, including optimized electrification of pool heating loads, pool operation controls and the incorporation of load shifting of electric pool loads. Prospective ET studies should include controls solutions, design guides, or demonstrations that address:
HPPH installation face opposition where high electric rates discourage the adoption of electric heating.
HPPHs lose heating capacity as temperatures decrease. While not a concern for spring, summer, and fall heating seasons, many climate zones within California present challenges to economical heating from HPPHs during the winter months, due to an increased heating load and decreased heating capacity.
Alternative hot water design strategies are an important approach to decarbonize many “hard-to-electrify” water heating scenarios. Emerging technology investments in this technology family can help bring greater awareness and highlight alternative decarbonization pathways.
Potential barriers studies should address:
Please refer to the Emerging Technologies Coordinating Council for a complete list of active and completed projects to ensure your project is not duplicative.
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