The decarbonization of water heating has been identified as an achievable and significant step toward California’s overall decarbonization goals. Programs like TECH Clean California and BUILD are working on the market transformation of water heating and water heating manufacturers continue to make key strides in Heat pump products to address electrical infrastructure challenges such as commercial kitchens, central systems, and space constrained applications.
The electrification of water heating presents a key opportunity to build demand flexibility into this added electrical load: this make-or-break moment could result in either added stress on California’s electric grid in the crucial evening hours or true success in bringing grid interactivity to the mass market.
The Research Initiatives tables below describe the most important topic areas these technology research areas should be focused on, and the simplified icons indicate where the topic areas stand along the path of progression to technology transfer. The tables are meant to encourage research projects to fill the current gaps and advance the topic areas on the technology transfer path of progression.
High Needs | Medium Needs | Low Needs | Future Needs |
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having high impacts within the Technology Category.
Commercially available integrated and split electric heat pump water heaters (HPWHs) meet the demands of residential households and small businesses, delivering hot water two to five times more efficiently than conventional electric resistance, standard gas water heaters, or fossil-fuel-fired water heaters. Innovations — including plug-in 120V and convertible electrical inputs, low-GWP refrigerants, load-shifting capabilities, and alternative form factors — offer increased utility and environmental benefits while supporting diverse retrofit applications.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation Needs | Market Analysis Needs | Measure Development Needs | Program Development Needs |
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120V & Convertible 120/240V Residential | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Small Commercial | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
240V Unitary | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Split Systems & Small Form Factor | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Low-GWP Refrigerant | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Connectivity & Load Shifting | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
HPWHs face many barriers, but most of them are due to market and installation practices, not shortcomings in the technology itself. HPWHs have installation challenges and operational features not found in common gas storage alternatives that can make fuel-switching challenging:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having high impacts within the Technology Category.
Domestic hot water (DHW) systems are among the largest end uses poised for decarbonization. HPWH options have a higher efficiency than electric resistance and gas alternatives and can achieve dramatic energy and GHG savings. This technology research area covers efficient, demand-flexible DHW systems for multifamily and nonresidential applications, such as offices, hotels, healthcare, and foodservice. Hot water systems under this group may include a primary heat source (e.g., heat pump), storage, distribution, recirculation, pumping, valves, controls, temperature maintenance systems, heat recovery, and alternative heat sources (e.g., solar or geothermal).
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation Needs | Market Analysis Needs | Measure Development Needs | Program Development Needs |
---|---|---|---|---|
Split HPWH | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Unitary HPWH | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Load Flexibility Controls | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Dual Fuel Systems | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Distribution System Optimization & Recirculation | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Heat Recovery | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
There are many important targets of research, development, and market transformation across different technologies, designs, and market segments within this research area, each with their own needs. These projects could be executed as field demonstrations, technology development, lab studies, market studies, modeling, market transformation tools, or novel program delivery mechanisms. The state of understanding and research needs may differ, based on design configuration (e.g., integrated, split, central, or clustered), segment (e.g., education, hospitality, healthcare, office, foodservice, or multifamily), or building vintage (i.e., new construction or retrofit).
Opportunities to address include:
Commercial HPWH systems are still in a nascent technological stage that continues to evolve. Physical space, electrical infrastructure, and installed costs are major upfront barriers that have slowed HPWH adoption in retrofit nonresidential and multifamily applications. Of particular concern are escalating operating costs and affordability, as the electricity-to-gas cost ratio per unit of energy is approximately six, significantly higher than recent years. Other limitations include product availability of low-GWP four-season heat pumps, weight, and noise.
Researchers and design firms have developed better sizing tools to right size heat pumps for mitigating cost and space requirements in multifamily buildings, but similar tools are needed for many other commercial HPWH applications. Current health department sizing requirements do not address the use of HPWH systems in commercial kitchens and do not account for storage volume as a factor in sizing water heater capacities. Recirculation systems, although important to improve hot water delivery time and minimize water waste, can heavily impact water heater performance in central multifamily and commercial buildings.
Barriers to address include:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having moderate overall impacts within the Technology Category.
Residential multifunction heat pumps (MFHPs) — also known as combi heat pumps, combination heat pumps, or integrated heat pumps — use an efficient compressor system to serve both the space conditioning and water heating requirements of a household. These systems may be air-to-air or air-to-water. MFHPs can come in multiple formats: two-function or combination heat pump systems — which serve space heating and water heating demands — and three-function MFHPs, which also provide space cooling.
Note: This technology family is cross listed with the HVAC TPM.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation Needs | Market Analysis Needs | Measure Development Needs | Program Development Needs |
---|---|---|---|---|
Two-function: Water Heating & Space Heating | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Three-function: Hot Water, Space Heating & Space Cooling | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Selection Guidelines | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Residential MFHPs offer a novel pathway to decarbonization, providing an efficient alternative to existing gas-fired equipment or to an arrangement of multiple heat pumps, e.g., HPWH and a packaged central heat pump. MFHPs can potentially replace space heating, space cooling, and water heating with a single system, depending on the configuration and design. MFHPs have the potential to provide much higher total system benefits by extending the benefits of thermal storage to space heating and potentially space cooling. In addition, the single heat pump may free up a home’s electrical panel capacity for other electrification uses, and some air-to-water systems may be deployed with lower overall refrigerant charge than current heat pump systems due to the replacement of the refrigerant line to the air handler and water heater tank with a hydronic line.
Defrost cycles may also benefit from a MFHP configuration using DHW, allowing a faster, more efficient heat pump defrost without cold air comfort issues. In some three-function systems, it is also possible to recover waste heat during space cooling to use for water heating.
MFHPs are relatively new to the US market and, as a result, there are many opportunities to improve the understanding of their performance and impact on the residential sector. Manufacturers are introducing products combining DHW and space conditioning outside of shared heat pumps, such as HVAC units using heat recovery from space cooling to supply DHW. Examples of opportunities for research include:
As an emerging technology in the US market, there are many barriers to MFHP adoption that may be addressed. Understanding the performance of MFHPs in the context of US homes, the development of testing and installation standards, and the development of equipment selection guidelines are all necessary for understanding the efficacy of MFHPs in meeting California’s decarbonization goals and encouraging MFHP use in California. Specific barriers include:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having moderate overall impacts within the Technology Category.
Commercial multifunction air-to-water heat pumps (AWHPs) can serve water heating and space conditioning needs for multifamily or nonresidential buildings. This multifunction category includes combination AWHPs that provide DHW and space heating only, as well as systems that additionally provide space cooling. These systems use refrigerant to move thermal energy in air-to-hydronic and air-to-forced air space conditioning distribution systems. They typically can provide two or three functions simultaneously.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation Needs | Market Analysis Needs | Measure Development Needs | Program Development Needs |
---|---|---|---|---|
Combination: DHW & Space Heating | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Two-function: DHW & Space Cooling | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Multifunction: DHW, Space Heating & Cooling | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Sizing Methodology | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Modeling & Software Tool Development | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Test Method Development | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Multifunction AWHPs that can provide multiple hydronic services to a building can address efficiency and decarbonization market needs across multifamily and nonresidential sectors.
Opportunities to address include:
Barriers to address include:
CalNEXT expects to take on most or all of the work and cost burden.
CalNEXT has highlighted this technology family as having low relative impacts within the Technology Category.
This technology family encompasses electric pool heaters for residential and nonresidential pool markets; pool pumps and pool controls designed for the residential and nonresidential pool market to increase efficiency, performance, and enable load shifting; and alternative strategies for pool heating and maintenance. The technology family will help support the development of all-electric codes and ease pool heating loads to improve grid resiliency.
Research Initiatives | Performance Validation Needs | Market Analysis Needs | Measure Development Needs | Program Development Needs |
---|---|---|---|---|
Hot Tub Heat Pump Pool Heaters | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Residential Heat Pump Pool Heaters | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Commercial Heat Pump Pool Heaters | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Commercial Variable Speed Pool Pumps | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Opportunities in this technology family will increase efficiency with optimized equipment and designs, including optimized electrification of pool heating loads, pool operation controls and the incorporation of load shifting of electric pool loads. Prospective emerging technology studies should include controls solutions, design guides, or demonstrations that address:
HPPH installation faces opposition where high electric rates discourage the adoption of electric heating.
HPPHs lose heating capacity as temperatures decrease. While not a concern for spring, summer, and fall heating seasons, many climate zones within California present challenges to economical heating from HPPHs during the winter months, due to an increased heating load and decreased heating capacity.
Alternative hot water design strategies are an important approach to decarbonize many hard-to-electrify water heating scenarios. Emerging technology investments in this technology family can help bring greater awareness and highlight alternative decarbonization pathways.
Potential barriers studies should address include:
Please refer to the Emerging Technologies Coordinating Council for a complete list of active and completed projects to ensure your project is not duplicative.
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